November  2010  

  
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Coto de Caza Refuses to Grow Up, Ladera Ranch Is  Normal

Posted by CotoBlogzz 10-12-2010  

Coto de Caza, CA -  The Coto de Caza demographics have been changing for the last ten years, with the average age rapidly increasing while the total population declines - and the number of visitors increase.  That should be good news for traffic accidents and crime and vandalism - right?  Wrong! We previously warned residents and visitors alike to drive in Coto at their own peril.  We are renewing the call, based on the latest California Highway Patrol  (CHP) statistics:

Consider that for close to a decade, we have consistently shown conclusive evidence that there is a direct correlation between the extent of the CHP  traffic enforcement efforts and the number of traffic accidents in the community:  

When in 2002,  the CZ Master Association board of directors fired the CHP without a suitable alternative, the accident rate climbed up significantly culminating on a  traffic fatality on  December 7, 2005, the first traffic fatality in the community.  Eventually, the board was coerced into bringing back the CHP, however, it let road certification expire, neutralizing the CHP effectiveness, as the CHP could not issue citations, and the second traffic fatality was recorded three months later.

With this background in mind, the CHP statistics for the quarter ending September 30,  2010  are a deja vue  showing troubling danger signs.

Coto de Caza Traffic Accident/Fatalities Cause-Effect

By far, the number one reason for CHP citations in Coto is due to speeding.  On the other hand, while the number of speeding citations issued by the CHP in 2009 was 63, the number of speeding tickets in 2010 is down to 37 - almost a 50% reduction.  

That is the good news.  The bad news is that the number of traffic accidents has been climbing since the third quarter in 2009.  Coincidentally, the number of CHP patrol hours decreased from an average of 100 hours per month in 2009, to merely 77 in 2010.  The obvious message?  Unless the number of CHP patrol hours start to increase, the community may not have to wait too long to experience its third traffic fatality in five years
3Q2010 - Coto de Caza Traffic Accidents Trending- Source:  CHP SJC The 3Q2010  traffic accidents include one DUI, one personal injury and five property damage.

Even more bad news is that residents of Coto de Caza refuse to grow up, as evidenced by the abnormal breakdown of citations by age group, with the age group of 40-years and older receiving almost half of the citations as all other age groups combined.  This is not a surprise, as we have previously called Coto de Caza GRUP City 

 A GRUP  is  someone who has failed to grow up. Intentionally. It is someone who has not just failed to put away childish things, but is happily tossing them around. Similar to the images conveyed by Michael Jackson’s Peter Pan, and perhaps to make it more appealing to the masses, New York magazine writer Adam Sternbergh came up with the term “Grup”: In Sternbergh’s words, a Grup “…. owns eleven pairs of sneakers, hasn’t worn anything but jeans in a year, and won’t shut up about the latest Death Cab for Cutie CD. But he is no kid. He is among the ascendant breed of grown-up who has redefined adulthood as we once knew it and killed off the generation gap”

Coto de Caza Citation Distribution by Age Group- Source:  CHP SJC

The Ladera Ranch traffic accident  trending is also very much predictable - when the CHP patrol hours were reduced due to manpower issues, the community raised a stink:

during the 2007 CZ Master Association Candidate’s Night,  incumbents Varo/Mezger insisted that because Ladera Ranch residents were making a public spectacle, CHP hours  that otherwise might be allocated to Coto de Caza, were not. Since Coto residents have not taken the time nor the effort to make a public spectacle about public safety, ever since, Ladera Ranch residents have been the direct beneficiaries of a low and  relatively stable accident rate. 
3Q2010 - Ladera Ranch, Traffic Accidents Trending- Source:  CHP SJC

The 3Q2010  traffic accidents  for Ladera Ranch include two DUI, five  personal injury and six  property damage.

 

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