June  2010  

It is Official - It's All California Girls- Whitman, Fiorina, Hutchens Win.

Posted by CotoBlogzz 05-25-2010 02:30 PM

Rancho Santa Margarita, CA -  In December 2008 we asked Senator Boxer to share with us how she planned to face what we characterized a disruptive political climate as opposed to her then only challenger Chuck DeVore. We never did get a direct response to the question, although she did write that as a result of "new data from the Labor Department confirms that our nation faces the worst economic crisis of our lifetime" and in response to the crisis, she states that "I'm working every day to find solutions to our economic situation", What the Senator and her staff  heard was that  " ..strong support for jobs programs, for extending the Food Stamp program to help those families that are suffering, and to revise the COPS program that helps local law enforcement with staffing needs" and she is "also working with my Senate colleagues to enact an economic recovery package that will create good jobs while also benefiting communities across America with roads and bridge projects, better flood control and other infrastructure programs, and mobilizing the nation for energy independence"

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At that time, assemblyman DeVore asked a rhetorical question: "Barbara Boxer first ran for office unsuccessfully when Richard Nixon was President, Californians wore polyester bell bottoms and the laptop wasn't even a dream. Unfortunately, her views remain mired in the past and California can no longer afford her", is it fair to ask whether the Senator has been part of the worst economic crisis in a life time, or part of the solution? 

We asserted then that Senator Boxer was vulnerable in the disruptive political environment.  People laughed.

A month earlier (November 2008) we wrote "It can be argued that despite the use of the terms mandate and landslide associated with president-elect Obama's victory, the nation remains heavily divided along a values divide - as evidences by a roughly 52%-46% split in popular vote" - Again, people laughed and dismissively compare the division to the Cola-Wars, as in 52$ of the people like one Cola over the other.

Recently when Charles Krauthammer predicted that Health Care Reform would fail by a 66%-33% margin, we predicted it would pass, mostly due to the "caged animal syndrome" - the administration and Congress would do whatever they could out of  self-preservation, including cutting smoke-filled back room deals such as the Louisiana Purchase, the Cornhusker kick-back, the union deal and the purchase of Bart Stupak's Soul   

Clearly our predictions are not necessarily based on whether we have a horse on a given race, but mostly on science and heuristics to determine more likely outcomes.  Using a similar methodology, we have now predicted Sheriff Hutchens will take the OC Sheriff's 2010 race, Meg Whitman will beat out Poizner and Carly will take it all.  It is all California Girls.

 

 

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