February  2010  

Coto de Caza Crime & Vandalism at All Time High - A Tale of Two Cities

Posted By CotoBlogzz |  01-24-2009 5:30 PM

Rancho Santa Margarita, CA - When looking at crime and vandalism in the Coto de Caza community, the only question seems to be the slope of curve but not the direction.  There was a 20% increase in crime from the third quarter to the fourth quarter ending December 2009, for example, where burglary/theft increased from a total of 18 reported incidents to 31.

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Period Incidents
1Q06 54
 2Q06 60
3Q06 81
4Q06 63
 1Q07 54
 2Q07 81
3Q07 65
 4Q07 43
 1Q08 66
 2Q08 60
 3Q08 78
4Q08 69
1Q09 65
2Q09 71
3Q09 72
4Q09 93

In a classic study of a Tale of Two cities, the un-incorporated community of Ladera Ranch, shows a significantly different story.  With a population of roughly 20,000 residents, as compared to 16,000 in Coto de Caza, the Ladera Ranch crime rate in that community continues the downward trend first seen during the second quarter of 2006

Source:  OSCD

We previously reported that "Apparently unique to the community is that the age group of 50-years and above, account for roughly 50% of the reported incidents - what we call the GRUP Syndrome", and that law enforcement agencies are not particularly well liked by the Coto de Caza governance, specially the California Highway Patrol (CHP).  

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Period Incidents
1Q06 305
 2Q06 235
3Q06 156
4Q06 177
 1Q07 141
 2Q07 139
3Q07 129
 1Q08 122
 2Q08 133
 3Q08 120
4Q08 142
1Q209 197
2Q2009 144
3Q2009 164
4Q2009 122

 

These differences still exist.  We have posited that the different approach to public safety in the two communities have a significant impact on  the crime and vandalism rates,  and traffic violations, for that matter:  A corollary to Winstron's Law:  Crime goes where is it is well treated.

Source:  OSCD

 

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