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Gas
Prices Up, Accidents in Coto Down - An Accident?
Debunking
the theory advanced by CZ supporters who claimed
traffic accidents were a fact of life in Coto
July
2,
2008
Gas
prices keep going up, up, up and traffic accidents in
Coto de Caza continue a downward trend that started in
2005, shortly after the two traffic fatalities and
when the Coto de Caza board of directors was coerced
into bringing back the CHP for traffic enforcement
.
So,
is there an inverse relationship between gas prices
and the number of traffic accidents within Coto de
Caza?
Are
Coto Soccer Moms responsible for most of the traffic
accidents, as previously asserted by a former member
of the board of directors?
Are
Coto teens mostly responsible for most of the traffic
accidents, as previously asserted by another
former member of the board of directors?
Looking
at the data and asking the CHP, apparently the real
reason for the drop in collision rate is that the
"CHP and the residents are doing a great
job", according to CHP's Christopher Goodwin
The
second quarter of 2008 not only registered the
lowest number of accidents since 2001, but
also recorded the lowest number of citations
per enforcement hour - 0.71 citations
per hour recorded in April 2008.
|
 |
| PERIOD |
| ACCIDENTS |
| %
Change from baseline |
|
| 2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
1Q2008 |
1Q2008 |
| 12 |
15 |
22 |
28 |
30 |
24 |
21 |
16 |
12 |
| -20% |
0% |
47% |
87% |
100% |
60% |
40% |
7% |
-20% |
|
|
source:
CHP Capistrano, CA |
The
data certainly debunks the theory advanced by nay
sayers and supporters of the CZ administration who
claimed traffic accidents were a fact of life in Coto
and because of population explosion, it would be
impossible to achieve 2001 accident rate levels- which
for the record, we have always claimed to be within
the realm of probability. Nay Sayers even used
the analogy of the number of traffic accidents in
Interstate 5 close to LAX!
| Period |
Citations
per Enforcement Hour |
| Apr-07 |
1.62 |
| Jun-07 |
1.47 |
| Aug-07 |
1.34 |
| Nov-07 |
1.27 |
| Dec-07 |
1.05 |
| Apr-08 |
0.71 |
| Apr-08 |
0.71 |
|
 |
|
source:
CHP Capistrano, CA |
|
|
We
asked the CHP if the significant drop in citations per
enforcement hour were due to management policy, or
whether Coto residents were now more safety conscious.
An answer was not readily available, but Office
Christopher Goodwin speculated that the "decrease
is most likely due to our presence and residents being
more cognizant of their driving. I believe CHP
and the residents are doing a great job and we hope
that traffic collisions remain at low
levels", he said.
| DUIs
continue to be a factor, however, albeit a
decreasing one: DUI was a factor
in 50% of the traffic accidents
reported in the first quarter of this year,
whereas for the second quarter only 33%
On the other
hand, the Peter Pan Syndrome continues to be
alive and thriving in Coto de Caza, as the age
group of 40 years and above accounted for 28%
of all the traffic citations issued in April
2008 by the CHP. |
 |
|
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