CotoBuzz,  Community Journalism, Newsletters and Blogs Covering South Orange County, CA

  

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COTO DE CAZA PUBLIC SAFETY STATISTICS 

– A BRIEF OVERVIEW

May 9, 2006    

 

In the words of former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani from his speech at DMD New York in June 2002 when he was asked by an audience member how he got crime under control, he replied the city set up the right tracking metrics and benchmarks. Giuliani said, "If you can't measure it, you can't manage it; and you can't manage it if you are not measuring it." He said.

 

Actually this is an old management theory which goes back to the time of  time and motion studies in the Detroit car industry, and it definitely makes sense, you need to have information on the number of units you have sold, the performance of the sales people, the cost of all units, the number of units manufactured per hour per shop floor employee, the number of tickets punched per hour, number of defects per 1000 widgets, etc. If you don't know these figures, you cannot improve on them, you cannot identify the problem, you cannot think about resolutions and solutions and you certainly cannot do any kind of forward planning.

 

It should be pointed out that this theory is applicable to almost every human endeavor that you can think of, as Rudy alluded to.  For example, one of the common elements of a successful state is that it has a good bureaucracy with a meticulous and precise statistical and data collection service. Starting from the Inca's, Pharaohs of Egypt, the ancient Chinese civilizations down to the great dynasties of Abbasids,  Romans the Moguls, Ottomans, Japanese, British, French, Germans etc.. A successful dynasty / kingdom had an able bureaucratic structure and lots of data collection.   The caveat of course, is that figures do not lie, but liars figure!

 

We have long been  advocating the use of key business indicators to manage the CZ Master Association’s affairs, and until the first fatal traffic accident in 10 years in Coto de Caza, we have had little impact.  The following is a brief overview comparing our efforts at constructing a public safety tool for unincorporated areas, such as Coto de Caza and Ladera Ranch, and compare that to the quality of data long supplied by the current Coto de Caza Board of Directors.

 

 

The Evolution of a Crime and Vandalism Management Tool

Our first attempt to baseline crime and vandalism in and around Coto de Caza took us to the CNN/Money.  CNN/Money commissioned a study for their Better Places to Live section, and use census, FBI and other data.  We published these results in the November 2004 issue of CotoBuzz and include a number of communities in and around Coto.

NOVEMBER 2004 - COTO DE CAZA - Source:  CNN/News

Population: 13,597

 Crime  about crime data

City
Stats

Natl.
Avg.

Rank from
Lo to Hi

(out of 1260)

Personal crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)

59  

100 

777 

Property crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)
 

41 

100 

282

 

NOVEMBER 2004 - RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA: Source:  CNN/News

Crime 

City
Stats

Natl.
Avg.

Rank from
Lo to Hi
(out of 1260)

Personal crime risk


 (index based on 100 average;
lower is better)

31  

100 

406 

Property crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better) 

31 

100 

187 

 

NOVEMBER 2004 - IRVINE:  Source:  CNN/News

Population: 150,450

 

 Crime  (about crime data)

City
Stats

Natl.
Avg.

Rank from
Lo to Hi

(out of 1260)

Personal crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)

125  

100 

1,066 

Property crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)
 

63 

100 

568 

 

NOVEMBER 2004 - LAKE FOREST Source:  CNN/News
Population: 61,091

 

 Crime  (about crime data)

City
Stats

Natl.
Avg.

Rank from
Lo to Hi

(out of 1260)

Personal crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)

28  

100 

341 

Property crime risk
(index based on 100 average;
lower is better)
 

24 

100 

142

 

 

DECEMBER  2005

As of December 2005, CNN/Money  dropped Coto de Caza out of its Best Places to Live with population under 100,000, whereas the top 6 cities are:

1

Rancho Santa Margarita, CA

2

Flower Mound, TX

3

San Clemente, CA

4

Tustin, CA

5

Carlsbad, CA

6

Laguna Niguel, CA

 

 

JANUARY 2006

Not having a reliable place to collect crime and vandalism data, since CNN/Money were no longer interested in Coto de Caza,  we started to work with the Orange County Sheriff’s department. And have now developed a tool for Coto de Caza and Ladera Ranch – for other incorporated areas, such as Rancho Santa Margarita, the OC Sheriff’s blotter can be used.

 

SOURCE:  Orange County Sheriff’s department

SHERIFF'S REPORT FOR COTO DE CAZA

COTO DE CAZA CRIME TRENDS

Jan-06

Feb-06

ZIP CODE:  92679

 

 

Totals Reports (Part I, II & III)

18

22

 

 

 

Part I

 

 

Aggravated Assault

0

2

Burglary

2

2

Larceny/Theft

4

2

 

 

 

Part II

 

 

Other Assaults

6

1

Fraud

2

5

Other Offenses

1

3

Suspicion

2

0

Vandalism

0

3

Vehicle Violations

0

1

 

 

 

Part III - Non-Criminal Incidents

 

 

Prank

1

0

Other Non-Criminal

0

3

 

 

 

Total Number of Domestic Violence Cases

 

 

Domestic Abuse

1

3

 

 

 

Total Number of Arrests

1

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

Age Breakdown for Suspects

Jan-06

Feb-06

17 years and under

0

2

18-20 years

0

0

21-24 years

0

1

25-29 years

1

0

30-34 years

0

1

35-39 years

1

3

40-44 years

1

0

45-49 years

0

0

50 years or older

0

0

 

It should be noted that Coto de Caza board of directors, Jerry Mezger has called our work, "garbage analysis".  So what might be quality analysis as defined by Mezger and implemented by a high priced consultant, together with a non-homeowner volunteer group (since the Coto Public Safety Committee chairperson was fired for refusing to pursued the boar's personal agendas)?   The Sheriff keeps track of calls for law enforcement service to Coto and other communities.  According to the Sheriff’s numbers for 2004 and 2005, our law enforcement calls by the Sheriff’s department run about ¼ the rate of other South Orange County communities on a per capita basis” – Jerry Mezger, Coto de Caza Board of Directors, April 26, 2006, prompting the following response from former board member, Joseph Morabito: 

“Rather than arguing about crime statistics in Coto, we need to start with the premise that we don't want any crime in Coto.  From that premise, our bench mark should be Zero crimes so then even one is too many.  Therefore when the high priced Security Consultant the incompetent CZ Board has retained, retired ex-Sheriff Lisanti says that we fall in the normal range for a community our size related to crime rate, what ever that means, it is bureaucratic law enforcement acceptance and rationalization that some crime is normal.   While that may be true, if that becomes the accepted premise, then it allows for the paint ball shooting, a hit and run accident that resulted in a tragic death, stealing of our mail or other items in unlocked cars in our driveways etc. etc. because perhaps these things happen less often in Coto than they do in East LA or Watts.  But, we don't live in East LA or Watts.  For the extra $200 a month we pay to live behind these gates, we should never accept the notion that some crime is normal because it allows for the rationalization of crime.  If that is the best our new Security Consultant can do, then please CZ Board Members stop wasting our money.  We can read the newspapers to get that information for free or the price of a subscription”

 

 

PRO-ACTIVE TRAFFIC PATROL:

CZ board member, Metzger has characterized the current Coto de Caza traffic patrol as “intensive” – only after the board was coerced into bringing back the CHP – the problem is that since the association has not invested in a tickler file for its service providers, those responsible let road certification expire all but Coto de Caza Drive – apparently making this road the more intensively patrolled street in traffic the history of Coto de Caza!

In contrast, the more pensive approach to public safety in Ladera Ranch with a much larger population that Coto de Caza during February 2006, averaged 5 - 6 units per shift on Day Shift and Swing Shift, and 3 units on Graveyard Shift worth of CHP patrol.

Bottom Line:  Coto de Caza has logged two traffic fatalities in the last six months.  Ladera Ranch?  None since 2000!

 

COTO DE CAZA:  Source:  CHP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1Q06

 

 

 

 

 

Traffic Collisions

5

 

 

 

 

 

Total number of Hours of Enforcement

445

 

 

 

 

 

Total number of Citations

507

 

 

 

 

 

Total number of Warnings

90

 

 

 

 

 

Total Arrests

8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1Q06

 

 

 

 

 

Counts:                   

Citations

Warnings

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Seat belt        

55

12

 

 

 

 

Stop sign       

184

21

 

 

 

 

Speeding    

225

31

 

 

 

 

Expired Registration

6

6

 

 

 

 

License Plates    

5

4

 

 

 

 

Mechanical Violations   

13

4

 

 

 

 

DUI - Marijuana

1

0

 

 

 

 

Suspended license

1

0

 

 

 

 

Other   

19

11

 

 

 

 

Arrest

8

0

 

 

 

 

Sub-total

517

89

 

 

 

 

Daily Average

11

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PERIOD

2002

2003

2004

2005

1Q06

 

ACCIDENTS

15

19

22

28

20

 

%

0%

27%

47%

87%

5%

 

 

 

 COTO DE CAZA ACCIDENT RATE:  Source:  CHP

 

LADERA RANCH- Source:  CHP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2004

2005

 

 

 

 

Total Citations: 387

387

315

 

 

 

 

Arrest

4

4

 

 

 

 

Speeding 

181

100

 

 

 

 

Seat Belts

70

54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

And what exactly are the statistics used by the Coto de Caza Board of Directors?

Typical example from March 2005 CZ Master Association General Session Meeting Minutes”

 

  • 52 incident reports
  • 330 parking citations17 vehicles towed
  • 21 gate strikes
  • 104 new transponder issues
  • 123 replacement transponders
  • 96 defective transponders
  • 2 fall of transponders
  • 991 aentry access denies

 

It should be noted that all citations issued are toothless – that is, rarely if ever are they enforced, and in some cases, simply thrown in the circular file!

 

INVASION OF PRIVACY

Invasion of privacy has been an element of the multiple comprehensive public safety proposals we have advanced to the Coto de Caza board of directors, without much success.  We have documented evidence of certain violations  and we are working on a management tools to help with this endeavor as well

 

OTHER RELATED STORIES:

Breaking News: South Orange County Public Safety Round Up
RSM- During the April 12, 2006, Rancho Santa Margarita City Council meeting, the council adopted an ordinance that will prohibit people from walking on city street medians. Under the ordinance, pedestrians will not be allowed to step, stand, sit or...

 

Safest Cities in Orange County:- Orange County Register

Mission Viejo, Lake Forest are in the top 10 and Irvine 11th in rankings released by a private research firm.

 

 

 

 

    Post Comments Read Comments  |


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Comments:

Great report.  Too bad it is not coming from the high priced Security Consultant or Universal both retained by the current incompetent CZ Board instead of a concerned citizen.  At least then we might be getting something for our money.  Joe Morabito

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hi Joe:

Thanks for the encouraging words.  It should be obvious that we have spent a lot of time and money developing these public safety management tools.  The public safety committee in Ladera Ranch agree with us, but as you know, Jerry Mezger has called our work “garbage analysis”, and the official Coto de Caza crime and vandalism metrics, as provided by the security consultant and voiced by Jerry Mezger are:  “According to the Sheriff’s numbers for 2004 and 2005, our law enforcement calls by the Sheriff’s department run about ¼ the rate of other South Orange County communities on a per capita basis”- Jerry Mezger,  April 28, 2006

 

Given that our work has been labeled  “garbage analysis” by Mezger, we are looking forward to receiving a “quality analysis” performed by the newly composed Coto de Caza Public Safety Committee, which includes highly paid consultants and hand-me-downs non-residents.—Is anyone here privy to this quality work? - Buzz

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buzz:  I wouldn't pay much attention to what Jerry Mezger has to say.  More often than not he has been very short on the facts.  Joe Morabito


 

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