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COTO DE CAZA PUBLIC SAFETY STATISTICS – A BRIEF OVERVIEW May
9, 2006
In
the words of former NYC mayor Rudy Giuliani from his speech at DMD New York in
June 2002 when he was asked by an audience member how he got crime under
control, he replied the city set up the right tracking metrics and benchmarks.
Giuliani said, "If you can't measure it, you can't manage it; and you can't
manage it if you are not measuring it." He said. Actually
this is an old management theory which goes back to the time of
time and motion studies in the Detroit car industry, and it definitely
makes sense, you need to have information on the number of units you have sold,
the performance of the sales people, the cost of all units, the number of units
manufactured per hour per shop floor employee, the number of tickets punched per
hour, number of defects per 1000 widgets, etc. If you don't know these figures,
you cannot improve on them, you cannot identify the problem, you cannot think
about resolutions and solutions and you certainly cannot do any kind of forward
planning. It
should be pointed out that this theory is applicable to almost every human
endeavor that you can think of, as Rudy alluded to.
For example, one of the common elements of a successful state is that it
has a good bureaucracy with a meticulous and precise statistical and data
collection service. Starting from the Inca's, Pharaohs of Egypt, the ancient
Chinese civilizations down to the great dynasties of Abbasids, Romans the Moguls, Ottomans, Japanese, British, French, Germans etc.. A successful
dynasty / kingdom had an able bureaucratic structure and lots of data
collection. The caveat of
course, is that figures do not lie, but liars figure! We
have long been advocating the use
of key business indicators to manage the CZ Master Association’s affairs, and
until the first fatal traffic accident in 10 years in Coto de Caza, we have had
little impact. The following is a
brief overview comparing our efforts at constructing a public safety tool for unincorporated
areas, such as Coto de Caza and Ladera Ranch, and compare that to the quality of
data long supplied by the current Coto de Caza Board of Directors. The Evolution of a Crime and
Vandalism Management Tool Our
first attempt to baseline crime and vandalism in and around Coto de Caza took us
to the CNN/Money. CNN/Money
commissioned a study for their Better Places to Live section, and use census,
FBI and other data. We published
these results in the November 2004 issue of CotoBuzz and include a number of
communities in and around Coto. NOVEMBER
2004 - COTO DE CAZA - Source:
CNN/News Population:
13,597
NOVEMBER
2004 - RANCHO SANTA MARGARITA: Source:
CNN/News
NOVEMBER
2004 - IRVINE:
Source:
CNN/News Population:
150,450
NOVEMBER
2004 - LAKE FOREST Source:
CNN/News
DECEMBER
2005 As
of December 2005, CNN/Money dropped
Coto de Caza out of its Best Places to Live with population under 100,000,
whereas the top 6 cities are:
JANUARY
2006 Not
having a reliable place to collect crime and vandalism data, since CNN/Money
were no longer interested in Coto de Caza,
we started to work with the Orange County Sheriff’s department. And
have now developed a tool for Coto de Caza and Ladera Ranch – for other
incorporated areas, such as Rancho Santa Margarita, the OC Sheriff’s blotter
can be used. SOURCE:
Orange County Sheriff’s department
It
should be noted that Coto de Caza board of directors, Jerry Mezger has called
our work, "garbage analysis". So what might be quality analysis
as defined by Mezger and implemented by a high priced consultant, together with
a non-homeowner volunteer group (since the Coto Public Safety Committee
chairperson was fired for refusing to pursued the boar's personal
agendas)?
“The
Sheriff keeps track of calls for law enforcement service to Coto and other
communities. According to the Sheriff’s numbers for 2004 and 2005, our
law enforcement calls by the Sheriff’s department run about ¼ the rate of
other South Orange County communities on a per capita basis” –
Jerry Mezger, Coto de Caza Board of Directors, April
26, 2006, prompting the following response from former board member, Joseph
Morabito: “Rather than arguing about crime statistics in Coto, we need to start with the premise that we don't want any crime in Coto. From that premise, our bench mark should be Zero crimes so then even one is too many. Therefore when the high priced Security Consultant the incompetent CZ Board has retained, retired ex-Sheriff Lisanti says that we fall in the normal range for a community our size related to crime rate, what ever that means, it is bureaucratic law enforcement acceptance and rationalization that some crime is normal. While that may be true, if that becomes the accepted premise, then it allows for the paint ball shooting, a hit and run accident that resulted in a tragic death, stealing of our mail or other items in unlocked cars in our driveways etc. etc. because perhaps these things happen less often in Coto than they do in East LA or Watts. But, we don't live in East LA or Watts. For the extra $200 a month we pay to live behind these gates, we should never accept the notion that some crime is normal because it allows for the rationalization of crime. If that is the best our new Security Consultant can do, then please CZ Board Members stop wasting our money. We can read the newspapers to get that information for free or the price of a subscription” PRO-ACTIVE
TRAFFIC PATROL: CZ
board member, Metzger has characterized the current Coto de Caza traffic patrol
as “intensive” – only after the board was coerced into bringing back the
CHP – the problem is that since the association has not invested in a tickler
file for its service providers, those responsible let road certification expire
all but Coto de Caza Drive – apparently making this road the more intensively
patrolled street in traffic the history of Coto de Caza! In
contrast, the more pensive approach to public safety in Ladera Ranch with a much
larger population that Coto de Caza during
February 2006, averaged 5 - 6 units per shift on Day Shift and Swing Shift, and
3 units on Graveyard Shift worth of CHP patrol. Bottom
Line: Coto de Caza has
logged two traffic fatalities in the last six months.
Ladera Ranch? None since
2000!
COTO
DE CAZA ACCIDENT RATE: Source: CHP
And
what exactly are the statistics used by the Coto de Caza Board of Directors? Typical
example from March 2005 CZ Master Association General Session Meeting Minutes”
It should be noted that all citations issued are toothless – that is, rarely if ever are they enforced, and in some cases, simply thrown in the circular file!
INVASION OF PRIVACY Invasion of
privacy has been an element of the multiple comprehensive public safety
proposals we have advanced to the Coto de Caza board of directors, without much
success. We have documented evidence of certain violations and we
are working on a management tools to help with this endeavor as well OTHER
RELATED STORIES: Breaking
News: South Orange County Public Safety Round Up Safest Cities in Orange County:- Orange County Register
Mission
Viejo, Lake Forest are in the top 10 and Irvine 11th in rankings released by a
private research firm.
Post Comments | Read Comments |
Great report. Too bad it is not coming from the high priced Security Consultant or Universal both retained by the current incompetent CZ Board instead of a concerned citizen. At least then we might be getting something for our money. Joe Morabito -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hi Joe: Thanks for the encouraging words. It should be obvious that we have spent a lot of time and
money developing these public safety management tools. The public safety committee in Ladera Ranch agree with us,
but as you know, Jerry Mezger has called our work “garbage analysis”, and
the official Coto de Caza crime and vandalism metrics, as provided by the
security consultant and voiced by Jerry Mezger are: “According
to the Sheriff’s numbers for 2004 and 2005, our law enforcement calls by the
Sheriff’s department run about ¼ the rate of other Given
that our work has been labeled “garbage
analysis” by Mezger, we are looking forward to receiving a “quality
analysis” performed by the newly composed Coto de Caza Public Safety
Committee, which includes highly paid consultants and hand-me-downs
non-residents.—Is anyone here privy to this quality work? - Buzz ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buzz:
I wouldn't pay much attention to what Jerry Mezger has to say. More
often than not he has been very short on the facts. Joe Morabito
THREE Blog Platforms (Bravenet, Yahoo 360 & BlogNet With AudioBlog), one Mission:
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